
"Rook" has some thoughts on the GOP debates. I am worried about this crowd running for the GOP nomination. Yesterday they acted like the Democrats' standard criticism, that this is a very weak field, was something they are trying hard to make come true. In the argument over 9-9-9, nobody remembered to mention the Balanced Budget Amendment and the cap on total spending as a percentage of the GNP, without which no reforms will ever stay in place and continue to work as intended.
Romney was his usual snarky, arrogant, pedantic, lecturing, talk-down-to-the idiots, obnoxious self; wrong on many issues (global warming, cap-and-trade, energy, taxation, debt and budget), untrustworthy on others (Obamacare, immigration); a typical fast-talking, ivy league, east coast Rockefeller RINO professional politician. Can't imagine having to suffer through four years of him on TV, not after five years of Obama (2008-2012).
Perry finally woke up and had a few good lines. He got Romney to admit that yes, he did have illegals in his employ, and that the reason he got rid of them (or the contractor who employed them) is that he (Romney) cannot afford the scandal while he is running for national office....THAT sure is a man of principle....NOT!
Ron Paul is trying to stick with simple principles but gets lost in the details, especially in the area of foreign policy; his statements lack a critical detail, such as WHAT he would do in a REAL crisis, or how he would PREVENT a real crisis after he brings all the troops home.
Santorum managed to illustrate why the professional leftists, the "moderates" dedicated to no principles or any particular convictions, and people of other persuasions, all fear the religious-right politicians. His insistence that the fundamental building block of society is the family, not the individual, and the resulting argument that he and Ron Paul got into over this point, was very instructive and very disappointing. Paul and Santorum reminded me of the dispute we've had going since before our founding, which was captured in the "Rum, Romanism and Rebellion" slogan in the election of 1884. Maybe the election of JFK was supposed to have put anti-Catholic prejudice to rest; but it sure does look like the issue is not really dead, and in some future election we will still have to deal with anti-Mormon, anti-evangelical and generally anti-Christian prejudice, too.
Gingrich continues to shine as the only intelligent and witty debater on the panel. While the others are reducing themselves to sniping at each other, he is the one who always reminds them that their real target should be Obama and everything the "Democrats" stand for.
Both Perry and Bachmann managed to show either that they can't think fast on their feet, or they don't bother to think things through in sufficient detail, or that they don't really have a deep enough understanding of economics or even the Constitution. This came to light when they both attacked Cain's 9-9-9 plan. Bachmann was correct when she brought up the "value added tax" idea supposedly embedded in the 9-9-9 plan. Perry was correct in pointing out that (uninformed) people will be unhappy with having to pay federal sales taxes on top of the state and local sales taxes.
However, both Perry and Bachmann (and everybody else who attacked the 9-9-9 plan) missed a number of fundamental points:
1. We already have a form of a VAT in force. Any tax that a subcontractor pays must be included in the price that the subcontractor charges to his customer the contractor; otherwise the subcontractor can't meet his expenses and will go out of business. Any tax that the contractor pays must be included in the price that the contractor charges to his customer the general contractor; otherwise the contractor can't meet his expenses and will go out of business. And so on, up the food chain, up to the final (retail) customer. He pays all the taxes, fees, labor, materials and other costs of bringing the final product to him. So in that sense we already have a VAT in force. It does not matter whether the tax is in the form of a corporate income tax or a sales tax or the VAT as the Europeans run it (applying a tax based on some artificial formula for the value added to the product at every step in the manufacturing process), in the end it is all included in the price charged to the last customer who buys and does not resell the product. Of course we could make all this artificial price inflation go away if all tax rates on corporations were zero. Even Cain hasn't yet pointed that out during a debate.
2. The current top corporate income tax rate is 35%. Even if nobody but the most helpless idiot, with no competent CPA and tax lawyer to help him, actually pays this top rate, whatever they pay is still higher than Cain's 9%. That in itself is a huge reduction from what they pay now. Again, Cain hasn't yet pointed that out during a debate.
3. The current top personal income tax rate is 39%, with about another 20% in Social Security (split between employer and employee) plus Medicare plus unemployment insurance plus workmen's comp insurance plus who knows what else. All these taxes combined will go down to 9% according to Cain's plan. So, even if the working poor were not exempted in other ways from the 9% income tax (which is a fine bit of complication buried in the 9-9-9 plan), their payroll taxes will still be cut to 9% total. That in itself is a huge reduction from what they pay now. Again, Cain hasn't yet pointed that out during a debate.
The only remaining argument against this part of 9-9-9 is the earned income credit, by which people with small enough incomes presently get as as a "refund" as if they had excess withholdings. I assume this will go away under 9-9-9 and Cain must anticipate the class-warfare objections by the Democrats and get in front of the argument by explaining how he will handle it before the plan is preemptively demagogued to death.
4. Yes, there is the legitimate concern about the federal sales tax, that it's yet another revenue stream for Congress to tap into. But one virtue of the sales tax is that you pay it only when you already have the money to buy something. Another virtue is that the sales tax broadens the tax base to include every consumer, even those who for some legitimate or illegitimate reason manage to pay no other taxes. Again, Cain's plan has a built-in exemption for the poor; the sales tax is applied only to new products. Will this have any side-effects? Look for an increase in garage sales and flea markets. The sales tax also makes government a partner vitally interested in keeping the economy strong and innovative, not lost in the quagmire of class warfare. But even with a federal sales tax, the total cost to each of us will still be lower than what we are paying now. The elimination of the huge overhead just to calculate our taxes, file and process our tax returns, will be much lower than what it is now, and the reduction in costs should result in a general reduction in the prices for everything. Again, Cain hasn't yet pointed that out during a debate.
5. The 9-9-9 plan is the most innovative one in this election cycle. It begins with throwing out the entire existing IRS code. Everybody else's plans BEGIN with the current code and just make changes to it. Of course. Politicians don't want to give up their best tool of social engineering. But the most ambitious promise of the 9-9-9 plan is that it is a stepping stone toward the fair tax (national sales tax). The reason for the incremental strategy is that people believe we have to repeal the 16th Amendment to eliminate the federal income tax. Actually, Congress could do that now, simply byresetting all rates in all brackets to ZERO, thereby effecting a de facto repeal; sure, the law is on the books, but it collects nothing. Again, Cain hasn't yet pointed that out during a debate.
After all these debates, with more to come, one would think that the participants would LEARN the issues, the key points, the major strengths and weaknesses, the sense of timing to present them in the debate at the right time, and thereby turn the debate into an intelligent, enlightening discussion of the issues, in sharp contrast with the class warfare and the politics of personal destruction favored by the Democrats. The fact that they don't seem to be rising on any learning curve is what gives credibility to the Democrats' chortling argument that this is weak field.
In contrast, Obama the professional campaigner looks polished, experienced and in command of his facts - dead wrong as they are - because he is well practiced in arguing from the ideology and rhetoric of the Marxist class warfare foundations of his positions on the issues. The only way to counter and defeat that is by being similarly well versed in the philosophical foundations and principles of freedom and the free market, and to be in full command of the facts and their contexts. Someone on our side will have to learn to be fully at ease, straight to the point and having fun like Cain; witty and in command of arguments and facts like Gingrich; feisty and forthright like Bachmann; principled like Paul; and down to earth and fundamentally decent like Perry. Obviously Romney, the slick flip-flopping favorite of the establishment, will never be that man. And the establishment is rigging the process by pushing the primaries earlier and earlier, which may have the effect of assuring an early Romney nomination before anyone of the others can get all their ducks in a row.
But, not having all their ducks in row will be their own fault!